GGOALVIO

Estonia · Cup · 8/19/2026, 4:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Olympic · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-2

Lowconfidence

Olympic are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 5.60 conceded, while Saku Sporting are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWWL), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 10 passed 2.5 goals, and Saku Sporting hold an 8.3-point power-rating edge (72.0 v 80.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 7.5% in the Cup, while Olympic holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 81% BTTS chance and 83% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Olympic

Probability

41.8%

Model confidence

7.5%

Olympic has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

OlympicWLLLW

GF 9 · GA 28 · avg 1.80/5.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 5/5
Saku SportingWLWWL

GF 11 · GA 9 · avg 2.20/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
OlympicSaku Sporting
100.0Attack66.7
0.0Defence66.7
100.0Form100.0
72.0Power80.3
2.38xG2.22
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