Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Rosengård · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (10%), 0-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Olympic 1-1 Rosengård
Original prediction
Rosengård
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.39 | 37.5% | 33.9% | -3.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.60 | 25.0% | 27.8% | 2.9 pts |
| Away | 2.40 | 37.5% | 38.3% | 0.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.60 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–110%
- 3.0–010%
Predicted outcome
Rosengård
Probability
38.3%
Model confidence
38.3%
Rosengård has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
OlympicWLWLL
GF 9 · GA 15 · avg 1.80/3.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
RosengårdLLWWD
GF 10 · GA 10 · avg 2.00/2.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
OlympicRosengård
66.7Attack44.4
0.0Defence61.1
0.0Form45.6
23.7Power51.1
1.12xG1.34