Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Olmaliq · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Olympic are 1W-1D-0L in their last 2 (DW), averaging 2.50 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Olmaliq are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LWLLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 7 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Olmaliq hold a 9.3-point power-rating edge (46.7 v 55.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.1% in the Super League, while Olmaliq holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 45% BTTS chance and 38% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Olmaliq
Probability
38.1%
Model confidence
38.1%
Olmaliq has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 2.50/2.00
GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00