Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Lions · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-3
Olympic are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Lions are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Lions hold a 31.7-point power-rating edge (45.4 v 77.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-3 the most likely exact scoreline at 9.1% in the Queensland NPL, while Lions holds the strongest overall chance at 76% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 82% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Lions
Probability
76.5%
Model confidence
9.1%
Lions has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80
GF 10 · GA 2 · avg 2.00/0.40