GGOALVIO

Sweden · Svenska Cupen · 9/2/2026, 5:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

IFK Goteborg · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 2-1 (9%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Olympic 0-5 IFK Goteborg

Original prediction

IFK Goteborg

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:06 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home11.328.0%34.4%26.4 pts
Draw6.9013.1%22.3%9.2 pts
Away1.1578.9%43.3%-35.6 pts

Historical EV

1X2 0.15 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-35.6 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–110%
  2. 2.2–19%
  3. 3.2–27%

Predicted outcome

IFK Goteborg

Probability

43.3%

Model confidence

43.3%

IFK Goteborg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

OlympicLLDLW

GF 8 · GA 16 · avg 1.60/3.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
IFK GoteborgWDLDW

GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
OlympicIFK Goteborg
83.3Attack58.3
83.3Defence50.0
50.0Form75.0
65.7Power63.2
2.03xG1.55
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