GGOALVIO

Sweden · Ettan - Södra · 4/8/2023, 11:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Eskilsminne · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Olympic are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Eskilsminne are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWLWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Eskilsminne hold a 14.2-point power-rating edge (44.6 v 58.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 51.2% in the Ettan - Södra, while Eskilsminne holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 52% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Eskilsminne

Probability

51.2%

Model confidence

51.2%

Eskilsminne has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

OlympicLLLDL

GF 6 · GA 12 · avg 1.20/2.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
EskilsminneLWLWW

GF 11 · GA 7 · avg 2.20/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 5/5
OlympicEskilsminne
43.3Attack56.7
45.6Defence62.2
38.9Form55.6
44.6Power58.8
1.01xG1.76
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