Ettan - SödraEttan - Södra
Sunday, 28 June 2026Last updated 12:31
Olympic

Olympic

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W
21
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Eskilsminne

Eskilsminne

Away
W
GoalVio prediction
52% confidence
Olympic(59%)
Most likely exact score2-1
Prediction correct— Result: Olympic
Win probability
Olympic
59%
Draw
20%
Eskilsminne
20%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Olympic
73
Eskilsminne
94
Defence
Olympic
66
Eskilsminne
27
Momentum
Olympic
100
Eskilsminne
100
Danger (xG)
Olympic
1.80
Eskilsminne
2.70
Both teams to score
Yes

The model projects 2.79 xG for Olympic and 1.67 xG for Eskilsminne — strong and strong attacking threat respectively. Both sides are generating enough chance quality to make scoring a realistic expectation, which is the primary driver of the BTTS projection.The projected 2-1 scoreline reflects both teams contributing to the goal tally. Even with Olympic holding the stronger xG profile, the opposition's strong attacking output is sufficient to keep BTTS in play.The attack-versus-defence matchup supports both teams scoring. Olympic's Attack Score (73) exceeds Eskilsminne's Defensive Stability (27), and Eskilsminne's attack (94) similarly tests Olympic's defence (66). Neither backline is dominant enough to prevent the other side from scoring.

Over 2.5 goals
Yes

The model projects a combined xG of 4.46 — high attacking volume for this fixture. A combined xG above 2.5 is the model's primary signal that the match is likely to produce more than two goals, and this fixture clears that threshold.The projected 2-1 scoreline clears the 2.5-goal threshold — 3 goals in the most likely outcome. With both sides generating high xG, multiple scoreline combinations in the probability grid exceed 2.5 goals.The attack-versus-defence matchups across both ends of the pitch favour the attackers. Olympic's Attack Score (73) vs Eskilsminne's Defensive Stability (27) and Eskilsminne's attack (94) vs Olympic's defence (66) both point to a goal-friendly environment — neither defence is strong enough to suppress the other side's attacking output.

xG for (Olympic)
1.80
avg per match
xG for (Eskilsminne)
2.70
avg per match
xG against (Olympic)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (Eskilsminne)
1.80
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
OlympicOlympic
WLL
EskilsminneEskilsminne
WLWDW

Probability breakdown

52% confidence
Olympic59%
Draw20%
Eskilsminne20%

Olympic leads with 59% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Olympic Backed to Win — Model Projects 2-1

Olympic host Eskilsminne in Ettan - Södra. Olympic have recorded DWWWWW in recent matches while Eskilsminne arrive with a run of LLLWLW.

Key factors

: 🎯 xG Advantage The Goalvio xG model projects 2.79 expected goals for Olympic against 1.67 for Eskilsminne — a significant advantage that translates into a higher win probability. xG is the model's most reliable predictor of match outcomes.
: 🏟️ Home Advantage Goalvio applies an 8% xG boost for home teams based on empirical data showing home sides score 10–15% more goals at their own ground. Olympic's Elo-adjusted home strength gives them a 56% expected score in this fixture — a factor that tips the balance when the underlying numbers are close.
: 📈 Recent Form Olympic arrive in better recent form — 5 wins from 10 matches (DWWWWW) against Eskilsminne's 2. Form over the last 5–6 games is one of the most predictive short-term signals in the model, capturing momentum that longer-term averages can miss.

Why GoalVio backs this

Olympic are generating a commanding xG advantage — 2.79 projected against 1.67 for Eskilsminne. xG measures the quality of chances created, not just shots. A gap of 1.12 is the clearest signal in the model that Olympic are the materially more dangerous side in this fixture.

Biggest risk: The model's projection is based on averages — individual moments of quality, tactical adjustments, or set-piece situations can always override statistical trends. Olympic are favoured, but football rarely follows the script exactly.

Risk factors

  • Olympic have been conceding 1.83 goals per game — their defence could be exposed.
  • With both teams expected to score, the game could remain open until the final whistle — late goals are a real possibility.
  • Live conditions — weather, team news, and in-game momentum — can always override statistical projections.

Head to head

Olympic 1Draws 00 Eskilsminne
Avg goals: 3.0BTTS in 1/1
28 Jun 2026
Olympic
W21
Eskilsminne

Recent form

Olympic

Olympic

W
vs Eskilsminne
28 Jun 2026
21
L
vs Atvidabergs FF
17 May 2026
23
L
@ Tvååker
14 May 2026
01
Eskilsminne

Eskilsminne

W
vs Kristianstad
1 Jul 2026
32
L
@ Olympic
28 Jun 2026
12
W
@ Balkan
10 Jun 2026
32
D
vs Skövde AIK
17 May 2026
11
W
@ Hässleholms IF
13 May 2026
31

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Olympic vs Eskilsminne?

GoalVio's model predicts Olympic to win with 52% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Olympic vs Eskilsminne?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 2-1.

Will both teams score in Olympic vs Eskilsminne?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Olympic vs Eskilsminne?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: Yes.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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