GGOALVIO

Australia · Queensland NPL · 4/11/2026, 6:15:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Olympic · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Lowconfidence

Olympic are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDWDL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Eastern Suburbs are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Eastern Suburbs hold a 2.5-point power-rating edge (45.4 v 47.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 8.6% in the Queensland NPL, while Olympic holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 74% BTTS chance and 75% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Olympic

Probability

41.2%

Model confidence

8.6%

Olympic has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

OlympicWDWDL

GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Eastern SuburbsLLLWW

GF 9 · GA 10 · avg 1.80/2.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 5/5
OlympicEastern Suburbs
59.1Attack51.5
34.8Defence47.0
39.4Form43.9
45.4Power47.9
2.04xG1.90
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