Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Olympic · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Olympic are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLLDW), averaging 2.20 scored and 2.60 conceded, while Ariana are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLWLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Olympic hold a 12.4-point power-rating edge (33.9 v 21.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.8% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Olympic holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 76% BTTS chance and 79% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Olympic
Probability
42.8%
Model confidence
42.8%
Olympic has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 13 · avg 2.20/2.60
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40