GGOALVIO

Australia · Western Australia NPL · 4/1/2023, 7:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Olympic Kingsway · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 4-1

Highconfidence

Olympic Kingsway are 1W-0D-2L in their last 3 (LLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.33 conceded, while Balcatta are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (WLLLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 8 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Olympic Kingsway hold a 31.6-point power-rating edge (64.1 v 32.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 83.3% in the Western Australia NPL, while Olympic Kingsway holds the strongest overall chance at 83% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 86% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Olympic Kingsway

Probability

83.3%

Model confidence

83.3%

Olympic Kingsway has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Olympic KingswayLLW

GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/1.33

BTTS 1/3O2.5 1/3
BalcattaWLLLL

GF 6 · GA 13 · avg 1.20/2.60

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
Olympic KingswayBalcatta
69.8Attack46.0
55.6Defence17.5
65.1Form27.0
64.1Power32.4
4.20xG1.05
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