GGOALVIO

Egypt · Premier League · 8/28/2026, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Olympic El Qanah · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (14%), 0-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Olympic El Qanah 1-1 El Gouna FC

Original prediction

Olympic El Qanah

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:50 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home2.5935.2%40.7%5.6 pts
Draw2.7633.1%30.1%-3.0 pts
Away2.8831.7%29.1%-2.6 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw 1.76 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

5.6 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–114%
  2. 2.1–014%
  3. 3.0–012%

Predicted outcome

Olympic El Qanah

Probability

40.7%

Model confidence

40.7%

Olympic El Qanah has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Olympic El QanahWWLWD

GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
El Gouna FCDWWDL

GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
Olympic El QanahEl Gouna FC
66.7Attack33.3
66.7Defence66.7
100.0Form33.3
80.3Power45.3
1.36xG0.86
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