Olympic Charleroivs
Union Saint-Gilloise II
COMPLETEDBelgium · First Amateur Division · 9/12/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Olympic Charleroi · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (10%), 2-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Olympic Charleroi 1-1 Union Saint-Gilloise II
Original prediction
Olympic Charleroi
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:12 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.68 | 53.4% | 45.9% | -7.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.61 | 24.8% | 26.6% | 1.8 pts |
| Away | 4.10 | 21.8% | 27.6% | 5.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.61 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-7.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–010%
- 3.2–19%
Predicted outcome
Olympic Charleroi
Probability
45.9%
Model confidence
45.9%
Olympic Charleroi has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00