Olympic Charleroivs
Tubize
COMPLETEDBelgium · First Amateur Division · 9/19/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Olympic Charleroi · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (10%), 0-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Olympic Charleroi 1-3 Tubize
Original prediction
Olympic Charleroi
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:11 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.13 | 42.1% | 41.8% | -0.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.45 | 25.9% | 26.8% | 0.9 pts |
| Away | 2.80 | 32.0% | 31.5% | -0.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–010%
- 3.0–09%
Predicted outcome
Olympic Charleroi
Probability
41.8%
Model confidence
41.8%
Olympic Charleroi has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80