GGOALVIO

Belgium · First Amateur Division · 8/26/2026, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Olympic Charleroi · BTTS No · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 2-0 (12%), 1-0 (11%), 1-1 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Olympic Charleroi 0-5 Standard Liège II

Original prediction

Olympic Charleroi

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:48 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.5159.8%64.8%5.0 pts
Draw4.0622.3%20.0%-2.3 pts
Away5.0517.9%15.2%-2.7 pts

Historical EV

1X2 0.51 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

5.0 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.2–012%
  2. 2.1–011%
  3. 3.1–111%

Predicted outcome

Olympic Charleroi

Probability

64.8%

Model confidence

64.8%

Olympic Charleroi has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Olympic CharleroiWLLLL

GF 7 · GA 11 · avg 1.40/2.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Standard Liège IIDWDWW

GF 10 · GA 3 · avg 2.00/0.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Olympic CharleroiStandard Liège II
57.8Attack31.3
50.0Defence49.0
49.0Form27.1
53.4Power37.9
2.01xG0.82
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