Olympic Charleroivs
RWDM
COMPLETEDBelgium · First Amateur Division · 10/17/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
RWDM · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 0-1 (10%), 1-2 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Olympic Charleroi 3-1 RWDM
Original prediction
RWDM
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 3 October 2026 at 00:06 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.24 | 40.0% | 30.7% | -9.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.29 | 27.3% | 25.7% | -1.6 pts |
| Away | 2.74 | 32.7% | 43.7% | 10.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
10.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.0–110%
- 3.1–210%
Predicted outcome
RWDM
Probability
43.7%
Model confidence
43.7%
RWDM has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20