Olympiakosvs
Nea Salamis
COMPLETEDCyprus · 1. Division · 8/28/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Olympiakos · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (13%), 0-1 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Olympiakos 3-3 Nea Salamis
Original prediction
Olympiakos
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.14 | 43.0% | 37.8% | -5.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.30 | 27.9% | 27.6% | -0.3 pts |
| Away | 3.17 | 29.1% | 34.6% | 5.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.30 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-5.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–013%
- 3.0–111%
Predicted outcome
Olympiakos
Probability
37.8%
Model confidence
37.8%
Olympiakos has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00
GF 14 · GA 7 · avg 2.80/1.40