Olympiakosvs
Aris
COMPLETEDCyprus · 1. Division · 10/11/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Olympiakos · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (10%), 1-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Olympiakos 1-2 Aris
Original prediction
Olympiakos
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 14 September 2026 at 17:11 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.47 | 26.6% | 39.7% | 13.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.41 | 27.0% | 26.3% | -0.7 pts |
| Away | 1.98 | 46.5% | 34.0% | -12.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
13.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.1–08%
Predicted outcome
Olympiakos
Probability
39.7%
Model confidence
39.7%
Olympiakos has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40
GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60