GGOALVIO

World · UEFA Europa League · 12/12/2024, 5:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Olympiakos Piraeus · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Olympiakos Piraeus are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDWDW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Twente are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWLWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Olympiakos Piraeus hold a 19.2-point power-rating edge (55.7 v 36.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 54.9% in the UEFA Europa League, while Olympiakos Piraeus holds the strongest overall chance at 55% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 69% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Olympiakos Piraeus

Probability

54.9%

Model confidence

54.9%

Olympiakos Piraeus has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Olympiakos PiraeusWDWDW

GF 10 · GA 2 · avg 2.00/0.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
TwenteLWLWW

GF 10 · GA 12 · avg 2.00/2.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Olympiakos PiraeusTwente
63.3Attack50.0
46.7Defence33.3
56.7Form16.7
55.7Power36.5
2.29xG1.34
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