GGOALVIO

World · UEFA Europa League · 12/14/2023, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Olympiakos Piraeus · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-1

Highconfidence

Olympiakos Piraeus are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLWWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.80 conceded, while TSC Backa Topola are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWLWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Olympiakos Piraeus hold a 38.3-point power-rating edge (55.7 v 17.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 73.8% in the UEFA Europa League, while Olympiakos Piraeus holds the strongest overall chance at 74% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 76% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Olympiakos Piraeus

Probability

73.8%

Model confidence

73.8%

Olympiakos Piraeus has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Olympiakos PiraeusDLWWL

GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
TSC Backa TopolaDWLWL

GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Olympiakos PiraeusTSC Backa Topola
63.3Attack33.3
46.7Defence0.0
56.7Form5.6
55.7Power17.4
3.10xG1.03
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