Olympiakos Piraeusvs
Sparta Praha
COMPLETEDWorld · UEFA Europa League · 10/22/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Olympiakos Piraeus · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Olympiakos Piraeus 1-0 Sparta Praha
Original prediction
Olympiakos Piraeus
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 18:06 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.50 | 62.9% | 45.5% | -17.4 pts |
| Draw | 4.35 | 21.7% | 25.9% | 4.3 pts |
| Away | 6.12 | 15.4% | 28.6% | 13.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.50 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-17.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–08%
Predicted outcome
Olympiakos Piraeus
Probability
45.5%
Model confidence
45.5%
Olympiakos Piraeus has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 1 · avg 1.40/0.20
GF 11 · GA 4 · avg 2.20/0.80