Olympiakos Piraeusvs
SC Freiburg
COMPLETEDWorld · UEFA Europa League · 9/21/2023, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
SC Freiburg · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Olympiakos Piraeus are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (DWWWW), averaging 3.00 scored and 0.40 conceded, while SC Freiburg are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWLWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and SC Freiburg hold a 4.8-point power-rating edge (55.7 v 60.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.7% in the UEFA Europa League, while SC Freiburg holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 75% BTTS chance and 75% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
SC Freiburg
Probability
40.7%
Model confidence
40.7%
SC Freiburg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 15 · GA 2 · avg 3.00/0.40
GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00