GGOALVIO

World · UEFA Europa League · 1/30/2025, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Olympiakos Piraeus · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Olympiakos Piraeus are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DWWDW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Qarabag are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Qarabag hold a 15.5-point power-rating edge (55.7 v 71.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.6% in the UEFA Europa League, while Olympiakos Piraeus holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 59% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Olympiakos Piraeus

Probability

36.6%

Model confidence

36.6%

Olympiakos Piraeus has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Olympiakos PiraeusDWWDW

GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
QarabagLLWWW

GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Olympiakos PiraeusQarabag
63.3Attack50.0
46.7Defence100.0
56.7Form66.7
55.7Power71.2
1.57xG1.50
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