GGOALVIO

Greece · Super League 1 · 8/20/2023, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Olympiakos Piraeus · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

Olympiakos Piraeus are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWLWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Panserraikos are 1W-1D-2L in their last 4 (WLDL), averaging 1.25 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 9 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Olympiakos Piraeus hold a 26.9-point power-rating edge (69.4 v 42.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 78.5% in the Super League 1, while Olympiakos Piraeus holds the strongest overall chance at 79% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 42% BTTS chance and 62% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Olympiakos Piraeus

Probability

78.5%

Model confidence

78.5%

Olympiakos Piraeus has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Olympiakos PiraeusDWLWD

GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
PanserraikosWLDL

GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.25/2.00

BTTS 3/4O2.5 3/4
Olympiakos PiraeusPanserraikos
73.1Attack37.4
68.5Defence46.5
69.4Form38.4
69.4Power42.6
2.72xG0.60
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