Olympiakos Piraeusvs
Panathinaikos
COMPLETEDGreece · Super League 1 · 10/11/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Panathinaikos · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-1 (15%), 1-1 (14%), 0-0 (13%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Olympiakos Piraeus 1-0 Panathinaikos
Original prediction
Panathinaikos
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 14 September 2026 at 03:42 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 3.50+| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.13 | 43.9% | 29.8% | -14.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.11 | 30.1% | 28.6% | -1.5 pts |
| Away | 3.60 | 26.0% | 41.6% | 15.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
15.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–115%
- 2.1–114%
- 3.0–013%
Predicted outcome
Panathinaikos
Probability
41.6%
Model confidence
41.6%
Panathinaikos has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00
GF 12 · GA 2 · avg 2.40/0.40