GGOALVIO

Greece · Super League 1 · 9/12/2026, 4:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Olympiakos Piraeus · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (12%), 1-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Olympiakos Piraeus 0-1 OFI

Original prediction

Olympiakos Piraeus

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:11 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.2177.2%46.7%-30.5 pts
Draw6.2015.0%25.4%10.3 pts
Away12.017.8%27.9%20.2 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-30.5 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–115%
  2. 2.0–012%
  3. 3.1–011%

Predicted outcome

Olympiakos Piraeus

Probability

46.7%

Model confidence

46.7%

Olympiakos Piraeus has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Olympiakos PiraeusWDWWW

GF 10 · GA 3 · avg 2.00/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
OFIWWDLW

GF 8 · GA 2 · avg 1.60/0.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Olympiakos PiraeusOFI
33.3Attack55.6
88.9Defence77.8
77.8Form66.7
70.7Power67.2
1.16xG1.11
View match centre →