Olympiakos Piraeusvs
Kalamata
COMPLETEDGreece · Super League 1 · 10/25/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Olympiakos Piraeus · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (12%), 0-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Olympiakos Piraeus 5-0 Kalamata
Original prediction
Olympiakos Piraeus
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 25 September 2026 at 12:49 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.11 | 83.9% | 55.4% | -28.5 pts |
| Draw | 8.06 | 11.6% | 22.7% | 11.1 pts |
| Away | 20.51 | 4.5% | 21.9% | 17.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.11 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-28.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–012%
- 3.0–011%
Predicted outcome
Olympiakos Piraeus
Probability
55.4%
Model confidence
55.4%
Olympiakos Piraeus has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 0 · avg 1.20/0.00
GF 11 · GA 7 · avg 2.20/1.40