Olympiakos Piraeusvs
Jagiellonia
COMPLETEDWorld · UEFA Europa League · 9/16/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Olympiakos Piraeus · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Olympiakos Piraeus 2-1 Jagiellonia
Original prediction
Olympiakos Piraeus
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 18:06 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.32 | 71.7% | 42.6% | -29.1 pts |
| Draw | 5.14 | 18.4% | 23.1% | 4.6 pts |
| Away | 9.62 | 9.8% | 34.3% | 24.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.32 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-29.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–17%
Predicted outcome
Olympiakos Piraeus
Probability
42.6%
Model confidence
42.6%
Olympiakos Piraeus has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80
GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60