GGOALVIO

World · UEFA Europa League · 8/10/2023, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Olympiakos Piraeus · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Olympiakos Piraeus are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LWDDW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Genk are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LDWDW), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Olympiakos Piraeus hold a 19.2-point power-rating edge (55.7 v 36.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 51.8% in the UEFA Europa League, while Olympiakos Piraeus holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 61% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Olympiakos Piraeus

Probability

51.8%

Model confidence

51.8%

Olympiakos Piraeus has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Olympiakos PiraeusLWDDW

GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
GenkLDWDW

GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Olympiakos PiraeusGenk
63.3Attack16.7
46.7Defence66.7
56.7Form16.7
55.7Power36.5
1.99xG1.21
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