GGOALVIO

Greece · Super League 2 · 9/20/2026, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Marko · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Projected score: Olympiakos Piraeus II 0-0 Marko, with an exact score probability of 25%.

Prediction record

Final result

Olympiakos Piraeus II 2-4 Marko

Original prediction

Marko

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 05:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home5.6316.1%28.2%12.1 pts
Draw3.2527.9%32.2%4.3 pts
Away1.6256.0%39.6%-16.4 pts

Historical EV

1X2 0.62 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-16.4 pts

Projected Score

Olympiakos Piraeus II 0–0 Marko

Exact score probability: 25%

Predicted outcome

Marko

Probability

39.6%

Model confidence

39.6%

Marko has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Olympiakos Piraeus IIWDLLL

GF 3 · GA 9 · avg 0.60/1.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
MarkoLWWDD

GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Olympiakos Piraeus IIMarko
47.3Attack37.5
64.5Defence76.4
44.1Form55.6
52.4Power58.0
0.71xG0.74
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