Olympiakos Piraeus IIvs
Asteras Tripolis II
COMPLETEDGreece · Super League 2 · 10/11/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Olympiakos Piraeus II · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (13%), 1-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Olympiakos Piraeus II 1-1 Asteras Tripolis II
Original prediction
Olympiakos Piraeus II
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 12 September 2026 at 06:33 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.17 | 42.1% | 38.2% | -3.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.14 | 29.1% | 29.3% | 0.2 pts |
| Away | 3.17 | 28.9% | 32.6% | 3.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.14 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-3.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–013%
- 3.1–012%
Predicted outcome
Olympiakos Piraeus II
Probability
38.2%
Model confidence
38.2%
Olympiakos Piraeus II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 13 · avg 1.20/2.60
GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.60/1.00