GGOALVIO

Australia · Tasmania Southern Championship · 5/1/2026, 10:15:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Olympia Warriors · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-3

Lowconfidence

Olympia Warriors are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWLW), averaging 3.20 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Taroona are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWWL), averaging 4.60 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 10 passed 2.5 goals, and Olympia Warriors hold a 3.5-point power-rating edge (66.6 v 63.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-3 the most likely exact scoreline at 6.2% in the Tasmania Southern Championship, while Olympia Warriors holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 92% BTTS chance and 95% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Olympia Warriors

Probability

41.7%

Model confidence

6.2%

Olympia Warriors has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Olympia WarriorsWLWLW

GF 16 · GA 12 · avg 3.20/2.40

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
TaroonaWWWWL

GF 23 · GA 5 · avg 4.60/1.00

BTTS 1/5O2.5 5/5
Olympia WarriorsTaroona
95.8Attack100.0
43.8Defence51.0
66.7Form58.8
66.6Power63.0
3.32xG3.18
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