GGOALVIO

Australia · Tasmania Southern Championship · 4/12/2024, 12:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

South Hobart II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-3

Highconfidence

Olympia Warriors are 1W-0D-2L in their last 3 (LWL), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.33 conceded, while South Hobart II are 3W-0D-0L in their last 3 (WWW), averaging 4.00 scored and 1.33 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 6 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and South Hobart II hold a 7.7-point power-rating edge (65.3 v 73.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-3 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.0% in the Tasmania Southern Championship, while South Hobart II holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 89% BTTS chance and 92% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

South Hobart II

Probability

45.0%

Model confidence

45.0%

South Hobart II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Olympia WarriorsLWL

GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/2.33

BTTS 2/3O2.5 2/3
South Hobart IIWWW

GF 12 · GA 4 · avg 4.00/1.33

BTTS 2/3O2.5 2/3
Olympia WarriorsSouth Hobart II
92.2Attack100.0
45.1Defence56.3
64.7Form79.2
65.3Power73.0
2.74xG3.23
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