GGOALVIO

Australia · Tasmania Southern Championship · 4/10/2026, 10:15:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

New Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-3

Lowconfidence

Olympia Warriors are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLWLD), averaging 3.60 scored and 3.40 conceded, while New Town are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWWLL), averaging 4.00 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and New Town hold a 4.5-point power-rating edge (66.6 v 71.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-3 the most likely exact scoreline at 6.8% in the Tasmania Southern Championship, while New Town holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 87% BTTS chance and 90% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

New Town

Probability

52.7%

Model confidence

6.8%

New Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Olympia WarriorsWLWLD

GF 18 · GA 17 · avg 3.60/3.40

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
New TownDWWLL

GF 20 · GA 10 · avg 4.00/2.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Olympia WarriorsNew Town
95.8Attack100.0
43.8Defence64.6
66.7Form66.7
66.6Power71.0
2.35xG3.25
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