GGOALVIO

Australia · Tasmania Southern Championship · 4/17/2026, 10:15:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Olympia Warriors · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 4-2

Lowconfidence

Olympia Warriors are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLWL), averaging 2.80 scored and 2.80 conceded, while Glenorchy Knights U21 are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLWDL), averaging 5.00 scored and 3.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 10 of those 10 games and 10 passed 2.5 goals, and Olympia Warriors hold a 39.8-point power-rating edge (66.6 v 26.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 7.4% in the Tasmania Southern Championship, while Olympia Warriors holds the strongest overall chance at 68% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 87% BTTS chance and 94% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Olympia Warriors

Probability

68.2%

Model confidence

7.4%

Olympia Warriors has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Olympia WarriorsLWLWL

GF 14 · GA 14 · avg 2.80/2.80

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
Glenorchy Knights U21LLWDL

GF 25 · GA 18 · avg 5.00/3.60

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
Olympia WarriorsGlenorchy Knights U21
95.8Attack72.5
43.8Defence0.0
66.7Form21.6
66.6Power26.8
4.50xG2.16
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