Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
OLS · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
OLS are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLLDW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while SalPa are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWDWL), averaging 2.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and OLS hold a 3.6-point power-rating edge (56.7 v 53.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 51.1% in the Ykkönen, while OLS holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 72% BTTS chance and 74% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
OLS
Probability
51.1%
Model confidence
51.1%
OLS has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40
GF 14 · GA 7 · avg 2.80/1.40