Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
OLS · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (9%), 2-1 (8%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
OLS 3-0 PKKU
Original prediction
OLS
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:21 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.80 | 50.3% | 45.9% | -4.5 pts |
| Draw | 4.06 | 22.4% | 20.5% | -1.9 pts |
| Away | 3.32 | 27.3% | 33.7% | 6.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.80 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-4.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–19%
- 2.2–18%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
OLS
Probability
45.9%
Model confidence
45.9%
OLS has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
OLSWDWLD
GF 10 · GA 10 · avg 2.00/2.00
BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
PKKUWLWDD
GF 11 · GA 8 · avg 2.20/1.60
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
OLSPKKU
65.3Attack62.5
48.6Defence52.8
52.8Form52.8
55.9Power56.8
2.02xG1.80