Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
OLS · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
OLS are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWWWL), averaging 3.40 scored and 1.60 conceded, while PKKU are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLWDW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 56.7 against 56.3. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 10.2% in the Ykkönen, while OLS holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 69% BTTS chance and 68% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
OLS
Probability
45.1%
Model confidence
10.2%
OLS has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 17 · GA 8 · avg 3.40/1.60
GF 11 · GA 9 · avg 2.20/1.80