Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
OLS · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
OLS are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (DWWWW), averaging 2.80 scored and 0.80 conceded, while KäPa are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWD), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and KäPa hold a 21.1-point power-rating edge (17.3 v 38.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.7% in the Ykkösliiga, while OLS holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 51% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
OLS
Probability
43.7%
Model confidence
43.7%
OLS has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 14 · GA 4 · avg 2.80/0.80
GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00