Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
OLS · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
OLS are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLWDW), averaging 3.40 scored and 0.80 conceded, while JJK are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DLWWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and OLS hold a 6.2-point power-rating edge (56.7 v 50.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 7.6% in the Ykkönen, while OLS holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 79% BTTS chance and 82% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
OLS
Probability
52.6%
Model confidence
7.6%
OLS has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 17 · GA 4 · avg 3.40/0.80
GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20