Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Olot · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (10%), 2-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Olot 1-2 Utebo
Original prediction
Olot
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:10 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.16 | 41.8% | 42.4% | 0.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.07 | 29.4% | 28.1% | -1.3 pts |
| Away | 3.14 | 28.8% | 29.5% | 0.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–010%
- 3.2–19%
Predicted outcome
Olot
Probability
42.4%
Model confidence
42.4%
Olot has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
OlotWDDLD
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
UteboDDLLW
GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.60/1.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 0/5
OlotUtebo
66.7Attack33.3
50.0Defence66.7
66.7Form33.3
64.8Power48.3
1.50xG1.06