Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Olot · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (14%), 1-0 (14%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Olot 1-1 Terrassa
Original prediction
Olot
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 18 September 2026 at 16:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.37 | 37.9% | 40.5% | 2.6 pts |
| Draw | 2.87 | 31.3% | 29.9% | -1.4 pts |
| Away | 2.92 | 30.8% | 29.6% | -1.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 1.87 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–014%
- 3.1–014%
Predicted outcome
Olot
Probability
40.5%
Model confidence
40.5%
Olot has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
OlotWWLWD
GF 11 · GA 7 · avg 2.20/1.40
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
TerrassaLLWWD
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00
BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
OlotTerrassa
58.3Attack16.7
58.3Defence91.7
58.3Form58.3
60.3Power58.8
1.20xG0.88