Olotvs
Barcelona B
COMPLETEDSpain · Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 · 10/25/2026, 4:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Barcelona B · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (11%), 0-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Olot 2-0 Barcelona B
Original prediction
Barcelona B
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 7 October 2026 at 19:47 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.67 | 24.7% | 26.0% | 1.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.25 | 27.9% | 26.1% | -1.8 pts |
| Away | 1.91 | 47.4% | 47.9% | 0.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–111%
- 3.0–010%
Predicted outcome
Barcelona B
Probability
47.9%
Model confidence
47.9%
Barcelona B has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00
GF 10 · GA 2 · avg 2.00/0.40