Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Olímpia are 0W-0D-1L in their last 1 (L), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Tupa are 0W-1D-0L in their last 1 (D), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 2 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 39.8 against 41.6. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.3% in the Paulista Série B, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 44% BTTS chance and 36% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
36.3%
Model confidence
36.3%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 1 · GA 2 · avg 1.00/2.00
GF 2 · GA 2 · avg 2.00/2.00