Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Olmaliq · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Olmaliq 1-0 Xorazm, with an exact score probability of 15%.
Prediction record
Final result
Olmaliq 1-0 Xorazm
Original prediction
Olmaliq
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:08 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.56 | 58.3% | 57.5% | -0.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.89 | 23.3% | 24.4% | 1.1 pts |
| Away | 4.93 | 18.4% | 18.1% | -0.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.56 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.8 pts
Projected Score
Olmaliq 1–0 Xorazm
Exact score probability: 15%
Predicted outcome
Olmaliq
Probability
57.5%
Model confidence
57.5%
Olmaliq has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
OlmaliqDLLWL
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
XorazmLLDWL
GF 6 · GA 11 · avg 1.20/2.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
OlmaliqXorazm
47.4Attack29.8
56.1Defence50.9
50.9Form35.1
53.8Power41.2
1.55xG0.69