Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Olmaliq · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Olmaliq are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Sogdiana are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLWL), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Olmaliq hold an 11.0-point power-rating edge (55.9 v 44.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 54.5% in the Super League, while Olmaliq holds the strongest overall chance at 55% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 70% BTTS chance and 73% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Olmaliq
Probability
54.5%
Model confidence
54.5%
Olmaliq has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20
GF 3 · GA 10 · avg 0.60/2.00