Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Navbahor · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (12%), 0-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Olmaliq 2-2 Navbahor
Original prediction
Navbahor
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 15 September 2026 at 18:57 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.69 | 24.5% | 25.5% | 1.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.48 | 26.0% | 26.4% | 0.5 pts |
| Away | 1.82 | 49.6% | 48.1% | -1.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.48 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–112%
- 3.0–010%
Predicted outcome
Navbahor
Probability
48.1%
Model confidence
48.1%
Navbahor has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
OlmaliqWWLWD
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
NavbahorWWDWW
GF 11 · GA 4 · avg 2.20/0.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
OlmaliqNavbahor
47.0Attack59.1
56.1Defence68.2
53.0Form66.7
54.5Power65.9
0.93xG1.47