Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Olmaliq · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Olmaliq are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDLWD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Buxoro are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWLWD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Buxoro hold a 2.5-point power-rating edge (55.9 v 58.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.5% in the Super League, while Olmaliq holds the strongest overall chance at 35% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 49% BTTS chance and 42% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Olmaliq
Probability
35.1%
Model confidence
14.5%
Olmaliq has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20