Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Olmaliq · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Olmaliq are 1W-0D-3L in their last 4 (WLLL), averaging 1.25 scored and 1.75 conceded, while Bunyodkor are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLWL), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 9 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Olmaliq hold a 12.1-point power-rating edge (55.9 v 43.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 54.2% in the Super League, while Olmaliq holds the strongest overall chance at 54% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 51% BTTS chance and 51% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Olmaliq
Probability
54.2%
Model confidence
54.2%
Olmaliq has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.25/1.75
GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 0.80/0.60