GGOALVIO

Uzbekistan · Pro League A · 4/8/2024, 11:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Olimpik-Mobiuz are 1W-1D-2L in their last 4 (LDWL), averaging 0.50 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Kokand-1912 are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWLDL), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 9 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Olimpik-Mobiuz hold a 3.7-point power-rating edge (60.9 v 57.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.1% in the Pro League A, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 32% BTTS chance and 24% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

40.1%

Model confidence

40.1%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Olimpik-MobiuzLDWL

GF 2 · GA 8 · avg 0.50/2.00

BTTS 1/4O2.5 2/4
Kokand-1912WWLDL

GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Olimpik-MobiuzKokand-1912
62.2Attack35.7
66.7Defence75.0
55.6Form54.8
60.9Power57.2
1.03xG0.65
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