GGOALVIO

World · UEFA Champions League · 7/11/2023, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Olimpija Ljubljana · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Olimpija Ljubljana are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWWL), averaging 2.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Valmiera / BSS are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDDLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Olimpija Ljubljana hold a 26.2-point power-rating edge (52.9 v 26.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.3% in the UEFA Champions League, while Olimpija Ljubljana holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 51% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Olimpija Ljubljana

Probability

46.3%

Model confidence

46.3%

Olimpija Ljubljana has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Olimpija LjubljanaWWWWL

GF 14 · GA 7 · avg 2.80/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Valmiera / BSSWDDLW

GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Olimpija LjubljanaValmiera / BSS
38.9Attack33.3
55.6Defence33.3
55.6Form0.0
52.9Power26.7
1.63xG1.09
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